Lesson 15. Launch Path — Demo → Small Live → Scaling
Bring everything together: demo 'green-light' criteria (PF/DD/stability/discipline), a tiny live pilot, a phased scaling plan, scheduled reviews/adaptations, and emergency rules. Leave with a 1-page launch & control plan and (optionally) a capstone pack.
15.1. Demo 'green-light' criteria
Before going live, your demo results should meet these thresholds (adjust for your strategy). These aren't guarantees, but they filter out obviously bad EAs:
Target Thresholds:
- Profit Factor (rolling or full demo): ≥ 1.2
- Max Drawdown (relative): ≤ 15%
- Expectancy per trade: ≥ +0.05R
- Stability: ≥ 60% positive months (or equity slope positive)
- Trades: ≥ 200 for intraday; fewer if H1+ but over longer span
- Discipline: ≥ 90% of trades followed the plan (journal confirms SL/TP and filters used)
- Costs: Average spread/slippage within plan; no drift ≥ 20%
15.2. Small live pilot (how to do it safely)
Once demo passes green-light, start a tiny live pilot to confirm execution, slippage, and psychology match expectations.
Pilot Guidelines:
- Size: Minimum lot (0.01) or 10–20% of your demo volume
- Risk: 0.25–0.5% per trade (keep daily/weekly stops: −2%/−5%)
- Environment: VPS near broker for intraday; notifications on; logs checked daily
- Duration: 2–4 weeks; same rules/filters as demo (no 'tweaks on the fly')
15.3. Scaling plan builder (phased with gates)
Gradually increase size only when performance gates are met. No rushing; let data prove readiness.
Phase 1 (Micro)
Phase 2 (Small)
Phase 3 (Baseline)
15.4. Review & adaptation schedule (keep edge alive)
Markets change. Regular reviews catch degradation early and keep your EA aligned with current conditions.
- • Journal/alerts review
- • Confirm PF/Expectancy/DD vs thresholds
- • Check logs/errors/costs
- • Period compare A vs B
- • Consider minor parameter nudges within validated ranges only
- • Re-validation (walk-forward/re-optimization on IS → evaluate OOS)
- • Check if regime shift requires filter adjustments
Review Triggers (act immediately if any occur):
- • PF_60 drop ≥ 20%
- • DD > threshold
- • Volatility regime shift
- • Cost drift ≥ 20%
15.5. Emergency playbook ('if this then that')
Pre-decide actions for common failure scenarios. Don't improvise in stress. Write your rules now; follow them mechanically.
Playbook Summary:
6 emergency rules defined. Print or save this playbook and follow it mechanically when triggers occur.
15.6. One-page Launch & Control Plan (composer)
Pull everything together into a single-page reference document. Copy, print, or save for your records.
15.7. Optional Capstone Project (deliverables)
Apply everything you've learned in a structured mini-project. This is your 'graduation portfolio' for the Automated Trading course.
Build a complete launch package for one EA
- Choose one EA (or EASY Bot)
- Backtest with realistic costs → short forward demo (2–4 weeks)
- Compile report: PF/DD/Expectancy, monthly stability
- Write 'Go/Adjust/Stop' plan with risk limits, protections, infra (VPS/mobile monitoring)
Deliverables:
- • 1-page Launch & Control Plan (from Composer)
- • Backtest+Demo report (HTML/CSV) with KPI summary
- • Launch checklist (Safety)
- • Journal of 1–2 weeks (KPIs/alerts/actions)
Available Templates:
Lesson 15 Quiz
Test your understanding with 3 questions. Pass with 2/3 correct.